Economic growth (real GDP)
How fast the economy’s output is growing after removing price changes.
+2.6%
Year on year; −0.3% quarter on quarter
Evidence cut-off: 29 July 2026
Updated monthly
Open data
Tunisia,
measured clearly.
A source-backed view of Tunisia’s economy, reserves, banks, households, electricity, water, public finances, investment and major projects—followed by a practical recovery plan.
Inflation
How fast average consumer prices are rising.
5.3%
Food inflation remained higher at 7.1%
Unemployment
Share of people seeking work who cannot find it.
15.0%
Youth unemployment reached 37.5%
Trade deficit
How much the country’s imports exceed its exports.
TND 12.57bn
Energy accounted for about 54%
Economic snapshot
A recovery that remains too slow for the labor market.
Growth returned, inflation eased and declared investment improved. But unemployment, energy dependence, debt service and a widening trade deficit still limit the recovery.
Growth
Recovery, not convergence
The World Bank forecasts 2.5% growth in 2026 and 2.3% in 2027–2028—insufficient on its own to absorb graduates, rebuild fiscal space and modernize infrastructure.
Households
Food pressure persists
Headline inflation fell, but food prices rose faster. Reform must combine supply, competition and direct household support—not abrupt price changes.
Employment
The deepest constraint
Graduate unemployment was 24.2%; for female graduates it reached 32%. Investment and training need to connect directly to real employer demand.
System-risk dashboard
The next crisis usually appears between the headline indicators.
Reserve cover, bank exposure, government cash, household pressure, utility service and SOE liabilities connect the economy. TunStat now tracks the available measures and records the missing ones explicitly.
Import cover from reserves
How many days of imports the country’s reserves can pay for.
97 days
TND 24.54bn on 3 July 2026; down from 121 days at end-2024.
Loans at risk (classified)
Bank loans at serious risk of not being repaid.
14.9%
Coverage was 51.6%; sector solvency was 15.1% at end-2025.
Dam filling
Share of total reservoir capacity currently holding water.
60%
June estimate; leakage and groundwater risk still require separate measures.
Missing metrics
Critical indicators without a current public value.
20 / 39
Current public observations were not found for more than half of the critical audit.
Power and energy
July’s outages exposed a system with too little margin.
STEG used localized rotating cuts during exceptional heat and high evening demand. The immediate event was peak stress; the structural problem is gas dependence, network constraints, limited flexibility and difficult utility finances.
Evidence limit: no complete public real-time dataset for available generation, reserve margin, forced outages or feeder-level interruption duration was found. Publishing it is part of the proposed fix.
Read the power-system analysis
Domestic energy share
Share of energy demand covered by production inside Tunisia.
34%
Down from 39% a year earlier through May.
Electricity sources (generation mix)
The fuel sources used to generate electricity.
91% gas
A concentrated fuel and foreign-exchange exposure.
Reliability sequence
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1
Measure the system
Publish capacity, peak demand, reserve, imports and outage events daily.
-
2
Protect critical loads
Test hospitals, water, telecom and civil-protection backup before summer 2027.
-
3
Buy flexibility
Combine repairs, demand response, storage, imports and efficient cooling.
-
4
Reform with protection
Lifeline tariffs and tested transfers must precede broad price adjustment.
Public finance
Most spending is already committed before investment begins.
In provisional 2025 execution, wages and transfers absorbed 74.3% of budget expenses. Interest was larger than direct investment, while debt service reached TND 24.44bn.
The fiscal choice
Reallocate carefully. Do not cut the recovery.
Protect
- Targeted household transfers
- Critical maintenance
- High-readiness infrastructure
- Medicines and essential inputs
Reduce
- Generalized subsidies over time
- New unpriced guarantees
- Low-readiness prestige projects
- Arrears and repeated monetary finance
Investment and delivery
The project pipeline is real. The execution gap is the risk.
APPROVED / IMPLEMENTING
TEREG
US$430m public package; official target to mobilize US$2.8bn private investment and add 2.8 GW by 2028.
IMPLEMENTING
ELMED
600 MW Tunisia–Italy interconnector designed to support security, balancing and renewable integration.
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
Bizerte bridge
2.07 km bridge with EIB and AfDB financing; benefits depend on completing connecting roads and access.
APPROVED
Water resilience
US$332.5m first phase, including irrigation, networks, smart meters and expanded Zarat desalination.
FINANCED / PROCUREMENT
Rail and roads
Phosphate rail rehabilitation, PMIR III roads and the Sfax–Kasserine corridor require delivery tracking.
STRATEGIC PIPELINE
Rail, airport and port
High-speed rail, Tunis–Carthage expansion and Enfidha port still need robust demand and affordability appraisal.
Country comparisons
Three peers. Three different lessons for Tunisia.
Similarity is separated from prediction. Morocco explains the structural opportunity, Jordan explains the current financing pressure, and Egypt shows how fiscal and foreign-exchange stress can transmit into inflation.
Structural peer
Tunisia × Morocco
Same foundations.
Different execution.
EU-linked manufacturing, tourism, agriculture and water stress—but an investment rate roughly twice Tunisia’s.
4.9%2025 growth
30.9%investment rate
Macroeconomic peer
Tunisia × Jordan
Similar pressure.
Different protection.
Comparable debt, slow growth, unemployment and utility burdens—but a far larger reserve and external-financing buffer.
83.6%net debt measure
8.6import months
Risk comparator
Tunisia × Egypt
Similar debt.
Different crisis mechanics.
The warning case for delayed foreign-exchange adjustment, state-enterprise opacity and an interest burden that compresses the budget.
82.5%central debt
10.6%GDP interest cost
01 / 02 / 03
Use each comparison for one job.
Morocco is the development benchmark. Jordan is the stability benchmark. Egypt is the downside transmission warning. None is presented as Tunisia’s inevitable future.
Interactive data explorer
Open the data behind the national headline.
Seven connected tools expose regional gaps, historical trends, project evidence, peer definitions, government spending, debt-service pressure and every published revision.
01 · Governorates
Regional map
Compare dated unemployment and investment observations without hiding missing regional data.
Explore →02 · Time
Historical trends
Separate realized values from forecasts and inspect the exact annual observations.
Explore →03 · Delivery
Project tracker
Filter twelve major projects by sector, stage, location and next verifiable milestone.
Explore →04 · Peers
Country explorer
Compare Tunisia, Morocco, Jordan and Egypt while keeping periods and definitions visible.
Explore →05 · Spending
Budget explorer
See the composition of spending and how each category changed from 2022 to 2025.
Explore →06 · Cash flow
Debt calendar
Break annual public-debt service into principal and interest, including the 2026 plan.
Explore →07 · Trust
Revision history
See when a dataset was added, corrected or reclassified, why it changed and which source supports the update.
Explore →Recovery program
Stabilize first. Reform the system next. Build resilience for the long term.
The sequence protects households and essential services while moving resources toward reliable infrastructure, productive investment and stronger institutions.
0–18 months
Stabilize and expose the facts
- Daily power reliability data and protected loads
- Cash, arrears, debt and guarantee control
- Tested transfers before subsidy changes
- Public permit and connection queues
- Ready-project delivery and SME working capital
18 months–5 years
Lower the cost of producing
- Independent electricity regulation
- Grid, renewables, storage and efficiency
- Targeted subsidies and fiscal-risk control
- Public-enterprise performance contracts
- FX, competition, finance and labor delivery reform
5–15 years
Build resilience and convergence
- Reliable low-carbon electricity and water
- More complex exports and regional logistics
- Foundational learning and applied skills
- Capable regulators, courts and local government
- Debt below 70% of GDP as a 2035 ambition
Healthy ranges
Every metric now has an explicit reference point.
“Healthy” may mean a prudential minimum, an official Tunisian program target, an international reference or a TunStat policy range. It is never presented as a universal rule when none exists.
Legal or prudential
Binding rule or supervisory minimum where applicable.
Official program
Published Tunisian or financed-program target.
International reference
Comparator or rule of thumb, not automatically binding.
TunStat policy reference
Country-specific operating range or directional test.
Loading metric references…
This registry is broader than the 39-metric critical-data audit, so its gap total is not directly comparable with the audit’s 20 missing observations.
Research library
Go from the dashboard to the evidence.
Every claim is linked to its source. The underlying tables are downloadable, and proposed targets are separated from official forecasts and program commitments.
Executive summary
Economic snapshot
Power system and outages
Finance, debt and loans
Investment and projects
Economic diagnosis
Recovery program
Legal reforms
Implementation scorecard
Risks and scenarios
Sources and methodology
Critical metrics and system risk
Healthy ranges and benchmarks
Download all CSV data
Monthly release cycle
New releases will be incorporated every month.
Each update will refresh macro, external, banking, household, labor, trade, energy, water, fiscal, investment, SOE and project data while preserving the distinction between actual, forecast, declared, approved and proposed values.